Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.021367 0.022997 0.024692 0.026588 0.028652 0.030831 0.033310
2025-12-28 0.018585 0.020917 0.023468 0.026473 0.029923 0.033771 0.038400
2026-01-04 0.016788 0.019526 0.022636 0.026443 0.030996 0.036289 0.042941
2026-01-11 0.015523 0.018540 0.022073 0.026536 0.032055 0.038696 0.047355
2026-01-18 0.014489 0.017700 0.021557 0.026563 0.032935 0.040838 0.051477
2026-01-25 0.013696 0.017069 0.021213 0.026724 0.033924 0.043101 0.055823
2026-02-01 0.012831 0.016273 0.020589 0.026451 0.034290 0.044527 0.059100
2026-02-08 0.012009 0.015472 0.019893 0.026015 0.034377 0.045542 0.061828
2026-02-15 0.011377 0.014875 0.019418 0.025826 0.034753 0.046930 0.065113
2026-02-22 0.010778 0.014284 0.018910 0.025546 0.034965 0.048071 0.068075
2026-03-01 0.010267 0.013783 0.018490 0.025353 0.035268 0.049331 0.071254
2026-03-08 0.009806 0.013323 0.018100 0.025170 0.035559 0.050564 0.074438
2026-03-15 0.009430 0.012981 0.017875 0.025242 0.036265 0.052508 0.078934
2026-03-22 0.009013 0.012560 0.017521 0.025107 0.036660 0.054011 0.082859
2026-03-29 0.008659 0.012212 0.017251 0.025074 0.037196 0.055748 0.087254
2026-04-05 0.008367 0.011938 0.017071 0.025161 0.037909 0.057783 0.092254
2026-04-12 0.008080 0.011656 0.016863 0.025186 0.038516 0.059671 0.097119
2026-04-19 0.007847 0.011441 0.016743 0.025338 0.039324 0.061916 0.102730
2026-04-26 0.007525 0.011078 0.016379 0.025081 0.039447 0.063027 0.106419
2026-05-03 0.007186 0.010675 0.015934 0.024671 0.039289 0.063645 0.109255
2026-05-10 0.006925 0.010379 0.015643 0.024493 0.039504 0.064900 0.113316
2026-05-17 0.006659 0.010066 0.015311 0.024229 0.039554 0.065863 0.116887
2026-05-24 0.006427 0.009798 0.015037 0.024048 0.039732 0.067052 0.120950